Politics and Religion

Do you really want to dicker between "toss up" and "total toss up?"
RespectfulRobert 9 reads
posted

Be my guest if that gives you comfort. Everything we can reasonably measure suggests it is virtually identical chances for either to win.

RespectfulRobert134 reads

Here are the current state by state polling results:
.
538
Arizona Trump +1.2
NV Harris +0.3
MI Harris +0.2
GA Trump +1.5
PA Trump +0.3
NC Trump +0.8
WI Harris +0.3
.
RCP
AZ Trump +1.9
NV Trump 1.0
MI Trump +0.3
GA Trump +1.8
PA Harris +0.3
NC EXACTLY TIED
WI Harris +0.6
.
The two groups disagree on who is leading in Nevada, PA and NC. Harry Enten on CNN he looked back over 50 years and no race was as close as this one. Total toss up.

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL!!!!!!!

The race is a toss up. In Maine. In New Hampshire. In New Mexico. That's how bad it is for the Dems.

History tells us that if the popular vote is a dead heat just two weeks out, the Republican will win the Electoral College. It’s not a toss up.

RespectfulRobert10 reads

Be my guest if that gives you comfort. Everything we can reasonably measure suggests it is virtually identical chances for either to win.

Where did you get the impression that I was dickering between “toss up” and “total toss up”? I’m saying it’s neither a “toss up” nor a “total toss up”.

And incredibly hyper partisan. Every R strategist I have seen on cable admits it's a toss up race. What actually happens come election day is another story, but this race couldn't be any closer. Incredible you cant admit that but if it makes you feel good to tell yourself its NOT a toss up, then you do...Willy. lol.

Trump won. The Dems would have lost no matter what, but they would have lost less with Biden.

Please don’t put words in my mouth. I didn’t dicker between “toss up” and “total toss up”. And I also didn’t say that a Republican victory was a lock. All I’m saying is that with the information we’ve been given to date, a Trump victory with around 305 Electoral College votes is the most likely outcome.

RespectfulRobert11 reads

I am afraid to ask. The information that is public points ONLY in one direction and that is toss up. If you have info to the contrary, please provide it.

I’m looking at the information and concluding Trump is likely to win. You’re looking at the same info and concluding it’s too close to call.  I’ve seen conjecture that Kamala will win in a landslide. I believe that’s where Happy was sitting until he decided to go MIA again.

I'll bite . . . . so what is the difference between "toss up" and "total toss up?"  Is it like the difference between "dare you" and "double dog dare you" where the escalation really means nothing because it's just posturing?  

cowering in the corner posting with a turd in his diaper

Some Democrat talking head was freaking out about Harris’ poll numbers. Talking about Pennsylvania: “At this time in 2020, Biden was up by 10 points in Pennsylvania. At this time in 2016, Hillary was up by 7 points. Harris is only up by 1 point.”

 
So by “up by 7 points” what he means is that Hillary lost even though she was in the lead. So it’s an admission that there’s a 8-9% padding in the polls in favor of the Democrats. And here they are openly admitting to it, despite not acknowledging it directly.  

 
So if Harris is up by 0.5% in a given state, she’s really down by 7.5%. LOLOL!!

 
If this was just a random error in polling then you could expect the polls to show the same thing for the other side. But it’s consistently just in favor of the Dems. So it’s not a coincidence. It’s intentional.  

 
Earlier this year I wrote about why the media endlessly lies. It’s to purposely deceive the public so they can sell true information to the elites at a premium. It’s basically the same thing as insider trading, but with all information, not just market indicators.

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