Politics and Religion
Iowa - Not so friendly to Obama (in spite of demmies poll doctoring)
Iowa
FIVETHIRTYEIGHT PROJECTIONS DEM REP MARGIN
Polling average 49.1 46.2 Obama +2.9
Adjusted polling average 48.6 46.4 Obama +2.2
State fundamentals 48.6 45.6 Obama +3.0
Now-cast 48.6 46.3 Obama +2.3
Projected vote share ±4.1 50.7 48.3 Obama +2.4
Chance of winning 72% 28%
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